MLS Expansion Final Four: Sacramento and 3 Others

Mike DiNovo-USA TODAY Sports

Firstly, my apologies. Full time jobs tend to get in the way of what’s most important in my life, and this is it!

Major League Soccer has come out this morning and stated the final four cities for the 2017 expansion decision: Nashville, Detroit, Cincinnati, and your very own Sacramento. This comes as no shock as all of these cities were pushing pretty hard as the deadline approached. Although San Antonio and Phoenix had some solid cases, they were never really going to get an opportunity in this round.

Sacramento has been the clear favorite for quite some time. Now that MLS has revealed the four cities they are currently favoring, my confidence is at an all-time high that Division 1 pro soccer is coming to Sacramento.

To me, it looks like there’s only one free spot open for expansion, because Sacramento already occupies the other. However, there’s more to it than just a biased opinion.

Sacramento is the only team of the remaining four that has an actual set stadium plan. In fact, they have already begun by making the building ground suitable for the construction of the stadium. Cincinnati just today received permission from their city and county to build the stadium which is obviously a big deal, but with only 2 weeks left, they have a lot of issues to resolve before they can start building.

Detroit was originally going to create a stadium that would only be for their soccer club, but realized it wouldn’t be cost-effective. They decided to go along the lines of sharing Ford Field with the Detroit Lions (NFL Team). Although it’s a smart move and makes it seem like they already have a stadium in place, it’s a lot less attractive for a brand new professional team to be using a stadium that’s 15 years old.

Nashville used to be a dark horse candidate, but was able to spring from the shadows and is now seen by many as the 2nd-favorite city to land an MLS squad, right behind Sacramento. Nashville has been able to get a $275 million, 27,500-seat stadium at the city's fairgrounds approved by Nashville city council earlier this month.

After Miami’s failure to construct a stadium despite receiving a green light from MLS, the league will not want to have to deal with a similar problem with the newer expansion teams. This is what makes Sacramento and Nashville so attractive; they’re ready to start building NOW.

Other Sacramento Arguments:

Other Great City Perks:

Final Thoughts:

Sacramento has been a favorite for the past several years. After the last expansion decision, the city along with its fans were a little miserable. Fortunately our strong ownership group never wavered. They kept fighting and continued to be aggressive towards the goals of becoming an MLS city. There’s absolutely no reason why Sacramento should not be chosen.

Republic FC has checked every box imaginable AND THEN SOME. In fact, Don Garber himself has said “It’s not a matter of ‘if’, but ‘when’”. Well guess what? “When” is NOW.

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Comments

I've got more to add

I basically made this same comment on the MLS article regarding expansion…

In addition to Sacramento having the strongest bid, some of the other bids have flaws that seem to be glossed over… and that irritates the hell out of me.

The level of support for soccer in Nashville is not certain. Sacramento and Cincy have been able to establish a track record in USL, and Nashville hasn’t. Nashville supporters are quick to point out attendance at USMNT games. Sorry, but just a few points of data isn’t good enough. Beyond that, Nashville’s stadium is planned outside of downtown. Stadiums away from downtown do worse. Look at attendance in Columbus, Colorado, Chicago, Dallas… why would it be a good idea to award a franchise to a team when they’re not going to work in downtown? Recipe for future failure.

I don’t even know why Detroit is even in the discussion at the moment.

To add to the Sacramento support: take a look at the ratings for the last world cup. Ratings Top markets for 2014 World Cup Final (from Forbes):
Washington, D.C. (15.4)
San Diego (13.4)
Los Angeles (13.0)
San Francisco (13.0)
Orlando (12.6)
New York (12.5)
Sacramento (12.0)
Miami-Ft. Lauderdale (11.5)
West Palm Beach (10.8)
Las Vegas (10.7)
San Antonio (10.6)
Philadelphia (10.5)
Denver (10.3)
Houston (9.5)
Indianapolis (9.5)
Nashville (9.1)
Albuquerque (9.0)
Buffalo (8.6)

Sacramento is clearly a market that disproportionately favors soccer as a preferred sport. Sac is starving for MLS.

I still really anticipate

Republic taking Miami’s place, possibly even getting a 2019 opening (Miami should have entered in 2018 with LAFC). This would unbalance the league for a year while Miami and, in my opinion, Nashville, get set for 2020 to rebalance east/west.

I’m sure there is potential for Cincinatti this round, but I think Nashville has a less crowded sports marketplace and a more next gen appeal, and they kind of hit both the south and the Midwest menus. Detroit is such a major market, but just not there yet, and perhaps arrogantly and errantly assigning itself the next NYCFC and Atlanta position of being too important to observe the stadium preferences of the league. I feel like they’re there so there would be four finalists.

We can prepare some full-crowd songs and chants in the waiting room.

Can’t wait for it to be official…

News Coverage

I must have looked at 20 different publications/media outlets concerning the expansion bid. Outside of Cincinnati, almost all of the reports have us as either the leading bid or the second. I agree with these reports because we are either first or second in the four major categories set forth by MLS:
1) fan support (#2 with an asterisk/Cinci #1) Cincy has the capacity to hold more people but the prices they charge their season ticket holders is WAY below our current costs. We could fill Levi stadium every week if we had $99 general admission season tickets like FCC does. Their fans’ checkbooks are not MLS ready.
2) media market (#2/Detroit #1)
3)stadium (#1, Nashville #2) The only 2 teams that are ready to build
4)investment group (#2, Nashville #1) The expansion bids, in my opinion, are below SRFC based on current funding for stadium and club vision (Ford Field, really?).

If MLS does not choose Sacramento, then Garber and the other owners have been stringing us along for their own benefit.

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